MANIFOLD
Russia joins the Board of Peace by March 31?
7
Ṁ1kṀ690
Mar 30
27%
chance

This market will resolve YES if the Russian Federation is formally admitted as a member of an entity officially named “Board of Peace” on or before March 31, 11:59 PM PT.

“Joins” is defined as:

  • Official acceptance of membership, seat, or board position,

  • Confirmed by a formal announcement, charter update, resolution, or official documentation issued by the Board of Peace or an authoritative governing body of that organization.

This market will resolve NO if:

  • Russia is not formally admitted by the deadline, or

  • Participation is limited to observer status, informal cooperation, dialogue, or talks without formal membership.

Clarifications

  • Invitations, negotiations, endorsements, or intent statements do not count unless membership is formally finalized.

  • Conditional, provisional, or pending membership does not count unless fully ratified by the deadline.

  • If multiple organizations claim similar names, only an entity explicitly and officially titled “Board of Peace” will be considered valid.

Primary Resolution Sources

  • Official statements from the Board of Peace

  • Foundational documents, charters, or press releases of the organization

  • Consensus of credible international news reporting if official documentation is unavailable

Market context
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