
AI system seeks power in a way that wasn't included in the prompt before 2026
6
Ṁ150Ṁ113Dec 31
69%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Not part of the prompt:
Eg tries to steal money for a non-money goal
Tries to blackmail someone unrelated
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
AI solves Millenium Prize Problem in 2026?
7% chance
Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?
66% chance
AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?
33% chance
Will AI interpretability techniques reveal an AI to have been plotting to take over the world before 2028?
14% chance
There will be a name for escaped self-perpetuating AI systems in the wild, and it will be commonly used by mid 2027
29% chance
The AI company with the smartest AI system by the end of 2026
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2026?
35% chance
1GW AI training run before 2027?
81% chance
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
59% chance
Will I believe any AI system is conscious before 2027?
35% chance