Election Derivatives: What will Trump's Manifold odds be on May 1, 2024?
19
130
1.2K
May 3
5%
<39%
1.5%
39-42.9%
5%
43-45.9%
11%
46-47.9%
33%
48-49.9%
23%
50-51.9%
10%
52-53.9%
5%
54-56.9%
5%
57-60.9%
3%
>61%

This derivatives market will be evaluated by the average price of the Donald Trump yes over the 24 hours from 12:00am to 11:59pm on May 1, 2024, eastern time, of the 2024 US Presidential Election candidate market on Manifold created by @Jack.

If that market is removed or otherwise broken, an equivalent market at the top of the US Politics page will be used, or another market I announce.


Daily average is used to increase the cost of market manipulation.

Get Ṁ200 play money