Election Derivatives: What will Trump's Manifold odds be on May 1, 2024?
24
1.2kṀ3400resolved May 2
100%95%
46-47.9%
0.1%
<39%
0.1%
39-42.9%
0.2%
43-45.9%
3%
48-49.9%
1.1%
50-51.9%
0.4%
52-53.9%
0.2%
54-56.9%
0.1%
57-60.9%
0.1%
>61%
This derivatives market will be evaluated by the average price of the Donald Trump yes over the 24 hours from 12:00am to 11:59pm on May 1, 2024, eastern time, of the 2024 US Presidential Election candidate market on Manifold created by @Jack.
If that market is removed or otherwise broken, an equivalent market at the top of the US Politics page will be used, or another market I announce.
Daily average is used to increase the cost of market manipulation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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