Will there be an active Threads account for the President of the US by the end of 2023?
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resolved Nov 21
Resolved
YES

The official Instagram account for the current US President (Joe Biden) is @potus. As of market creation, it does not appear that this account has signed up for Threads. Will it?

Resolves YES if there is an official Presidential account on Threads which has made at least five posts or replies by the close date. Resolves NO otherwise.

Considerations:

  • The account must be hosted specifically on Threads. A Presidential account on any other service which is integrated with Threads (such as "fediverse" services) will not count.

  • In the event that Threads unlinks registration from Instagram accounts and a new Presidential account is created without being explicitly linked to the @potus account on Instagram, that will still count, as long as it's clear that the account is official and under the control of the actual President's staff.

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NLeseul avatar
NLeseul

All right, this looks like the fifth post to me. Looks like a clear YES.

Strigoides avatar
Strigoidesbought Ṁ100 of NO

Only one post so far, description requires at least five. Will there be at least five by the end of the year? Most likely, yes. 97% likely? Debatable.

TP8ac2 avatar
T Ppredicted YES
DanPowell avatar
Dan Powell

Is an account for Joe Biden, the current officeholder, sufficient or must the account be attributed to the office of the President?

TP8ac2 avatar
T Ppredicted YES

@DanPowell The account is @ potus

DanPowell avatar
Dan Powell

@TP8ac2 Cool. Does it belong to the office or to the current officeholder?

TP8ac2 avatar
T Ppredicted YES

@DanPowell Potus accounts get transferred to current US presidents.

DanPowell avatar
Dan Powell

@TP8ac2 The press releases I’ve seen have not distinguished between the nuanced possible cases, and I couldn’t find a threads TOS clause that contemplates an office having an account, rather than an individual or organization.

JohnSmith9249 avatar
John Smithpredicted YES

@DanPowell The review criteria just require the @potus Instagram account to have a threads account.

TP8ac2 avatar
T Ppredicted YES

UniversalFC avatar
Universal FC ⚽bought Ṁ2,500 of YES

@TP8ac2 4 more posts to go!

wkm avatar
Wiktor Macurapredicted YES

@UniversalFC The POTUS twitter seems to post multiple times a day to optimistic the volume will be easy

wkm avatar
Wiktor Macurabought Ṁ134 of YES
TP8ac2 avatar
T Ppredicted YES

Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg is now on Threads.

Frogswap avatar
Frogswapsold Ṁ30 of NO

@TP8ac2 I wish I knew enough about threads verification to say that this must be fake. Very off-brand for Biden to post almost exclusively attacks, and the laser eyes profile pic makes him look evil. This would be the first time I've heard from him and come away with substantial negative feelings about him, but maybe he's got an idiot running his campaign (or maybe this wins elections by targeting people who are not me).

NLeseul avatar
NLeseul

@Frogswap If nothing else, the corresponding Instagram account looks pretty dead: https://instagram.com/bidenharrishq?igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==

(Even if this were real, I think I'd consider it an account for the Biden re-election campaign, rather than an official account for the office of the President.)

higherLEVELING avatar
higherLEVELINGpredicted YES

@Frogswap two ways to get verified. If you have a verified account on intstagram, it can carry over. another way to get verified is through Meta Verified | Get a Verified Blue Check on Instagram, Facebook | Meta

higherLEVELING avatar
higherLEVELINGpredicted YES

nah this aint it. this a fugazi. the instagram has an ad for a podcast. 140 followers. real potus would have high res photos too

Frogswap avatar
Frogswap

@TP8ac2 Yikes. That's going to make it a lot harder for me to separate 'Democrat politicians' from 'Democrats who post hateful unthinking hot takes on social media'. I guess it was inevitable when the media gave OccupyDemocrats et. al. partial credit for 2020.

Frogswap avatar
Frogswap

@higherLEVELING Oh, thank goodness if that's right

higherLEVELING avatar
higherLEVELINGbought Ṁ100 of NO

@Frogswap yeah,. here look at it the photos. Biden-Harris HQ (@bidenharrishq).
no way that this is it.