Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030?
8
32
αΉ€170
2030
51%
chance

This will resolve to YES,
if on Jan 1, 2030

Elon Musk has an active profile on X.com
//////////////////

if Elon dies
if X.com substantially rebrands
if Elon is banned from X
etc - will resolve to NO.

Get αΉ€600 play money
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predicts YES

What do you mean β€œif x .com substantially

rebrands

predicts NO

@GabeGarboden ie. if X.com does some pivot and changes it's branding (to, let's say "Y") and is very different platform, people don't refer to it as X anymore, but Elon's profile is still active there

bought αΉ€150 of NO

No way he maintains an active account if he's pushed out and unless things change radically he will be