Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the Republican candidate wins the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.

This market resolves to NO if the Democratic candidate or any candidate not affiliated with the Republican Party wins the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.

The primary source of resolution will be official certified results from the Kentucky State Board of Elections. If official certification is delayed, the market may resolve based on a consensus call by major decision desks (e.g., Associated Press).

Background

Kentucky holds its gubernatorial elections in off-years preceding U.S. presidential election years. Incumbent Democratic Governor Andy Beshear was reelected in November 2023, defeating Republican Daniel Cameron. Under Section 71 of the Kentucky Constitution, governors are limited to two consecutive terms, making Beshear term-limited and ineligible to seek a third consecutive term in 2027. Consequently, the 2027 race will feature an open seat.