Will Wagner Group’s Yevgeny Prigozhin live to see January 1st 2026?
39
532
790
resolved Aug 23
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if he's alive on January 1st 2026.

Resolves NO if he dies before the date.

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predicted YES

>Keir Giles, a Russia expert with the international affairs think tank Chatham House, urged caution about reports of Prigozhin’s death.

He said “multiple individuals have changed their name to Yevgeniy Prigozhin, as part of his efforts to obfuscate his travels.”

“Let’s not be surprised if he pops up shortly in a new video from Africa,” Giles said.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/prigozhin-wagner-group-plane-crash-live-updates-rcna101457

predicted YES

@NADZOR IMO it was resolved too early

@MrLuke255 What makes you say so? I resolved it because Wagner Group’s own telegram channel announced it, as reported by Reuters.

predicted YES

@NADZOR I'm not so sure it's that straightforward

bought Ṁ100 of NO

Good timing with this question!!

@BTE Personally thought it would be significantly less dramatic, but there was absolutely no shot Putin would have let such a betrayal slide. He’s killed many people for way less.

Doubters in shambles right now lol. Will resolve upon official confirmation of his death.