When will Sierra Nevada Corp launch their Dream Chaser reusable spaceplane? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
8
240Ṁ1613resolved Dec 30
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%93%
Not in 2024
0.9%
Q1 2024
1.2%
Q2 2024
4%
2nd Half 2024
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ83 | |
| 2 | Ṁ55 | |
| 3 | Ṁ24 | |
| 4 | Ṁ20 | |
| 5 | Ṁ19 |
Sort by:
NASA says NET May 2025, seems safe to resolve a couple days early. https://blogs.nasa.gov/spacestation/2024/10/15/crew-8-awaits-splashdown-expedition-72-stays-focused-on-science/
This article alleges NET September and likely to slip into 2025. https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/04/vulcans-second-launch-likely-to-be-delayed-until-at-least-september/
Related questions
Related questions
When will Sierra Space launch Dream Chaser? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
When will Dream Chaser go to space?
Will the first flight of the Dream Chaser spaceplane be successful?
88% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy Booster in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
53% chance
When dreamchaser launches, will it land on the runway succcessfully?
76% chance
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
84% chance
How many crewed launches will Boeing's Starliner have in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
9% chance