When will Sierra Nevada Corp launch their Dream Chaser reusable spaceplane? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
8
240Ṁ1613resolved Dec 30
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%93%
Not in 2024
0.9%
Q1 2024
1.2%
Q2 2024
4%
2nd Half 2024
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
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NASA says NET May 2025, seems safe to resolve a couple days early. https://blogs.nasa.gov/spacestation/2024/10/15/crew-8-awaits-splashdown-expedition-72-stays-focused-on-science/
This article alleges NET September and likely to slip into 2025. https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/04/vulcans-second-launch-likely-to-be-delayed-until-at-least-september/
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