What's the furthest milestone we'll see Starship achieve in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
14
1kṀ6206resolved Dec 30
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%98%
Reentry of both stages
0.0%
No further progress
1.8%
Orbital Payload deploy
0.6%
Reuse of a booster
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
Update 2024-30-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Next starship flight scheduled in January
Resolving to reentry of both stages
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ577 | |
| 2 | Ṁ267 | |
| 3 | Ṁ53 | |
| 4 | Ṁ31 | |
| 5 | Ṁ8 |
People are also trading
When will Starship complete an orbit?
What's the furthest milestone we'll see with Stoke Space's NOVA in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
New Glenn's furthest milestone in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
52% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Starship reach escape velocity before 2026?
7% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
39% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Sort by:
@TrickyDuck this is dependent multiple choice; it's about the furthest milestone to be achieved this year. It's still theoretically possible for an orbital payload deploy or booster reuse to happen this year, though unlikely.
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Starship complete an orbit?
What's the furthest milestone we'll see with Stoke Space's NOVA in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
New Glenn's furthest milestone in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
52% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Starship reach escape velocity before 2026?
7% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
39% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
4% chance