What's the furthest milestone we'll see Starship achieve in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
14
Ṁ1kṀ6.2kresolved Dec 30
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%98%
Reentry of both stages
0.0%
No further progress
1.8%
Orbital Payload deploy
0.6%
Reuse of a booster
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
Update 2024-30-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Next starship flight scheduled in January
Resolving to reentry of both stages
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@TrickyDuck this is dependent multiple choice; it's about the furthest milestone to be achieved this year. It's still theoretically possible for an orbital payload deploy or booster reuse to happen this year, though unlikely.
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