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MANIFOLD
How much mana will be sent to me before September?
8
Ṁ150Ṁ476
resolved Aug 7
31%31%Other
27%27%
<2,000
17%17%
<1,000
13%13%
<500
10%10%
<100
3%3%
<10 (Less than 10)

This is a more dynamic version of "will I receive (amount) by (time)?

I WILL ONLY BET YES (Against getting donations)

Currently at the beautiful, grand total of:

(Drumroll please)

0!

  • Update 2025-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is considering whether to include subsidies in the mana count, potentially at half value. This may affect how the final amount is calculated.

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This shouldn't be a dependent market (i. e. probabilities add to 100%), should it?

@4fa you're right. Is there a way to fix that here or should I just create a new market?

@4fa Didn't notice that, thanks.

What is the current number? And what has it been in previous months?

@TheAllMemeingEye sorry I should have replied instead of just adding a comment. Right now it's zero, I'll give updates in the description once it reaches 1 or more. Questions will resolve once the amount is hit.

Would it be a bad idea if I put subsidies into account? Maybe only half?

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