Related questions
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
28% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
53% chance
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?
7% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will AGI be a problem before non-G AI?
20% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will the first AGI be built mostly within the deep learning paradigm?
80% chance