In the next 12 months will the GenAI scaling craze see a group spend >$1B to train a single large-scale model?
14
130Ṁ2171Oct 30
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
9% chance
$1T AI training cluster before 2031?
65% chance
AI: Will someone train a $1B model by 2028?
81% chance
AI: Will someone train a $1T model by 2030?
19% chance
$100B AI training cluster before 2029?
85% chance
AI: Will someone train a $1T model by 2050?
81% chance
AI: Will someone train a $1B model by 2030?
89% chance
AI: Will someone train a $1T model by 2080?
69% chance
Will OpenAI launch a model even more expensive than o1-pro in 2025?
36% chance
Will an AI model use more than 1e28 FLOPS in training before 2026?
8% chance