
Loyal, a company developing treatments for longevity in dogs, recently announced that they have "completed the technical effectiveness portion of their conditional approval for [their first drug candidate]".
Will they successfully establish efficacy (according to the FDA)? Resolves NO if they fail for any reason, including, for example, running out of money before they complete their studies.
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Status as of October 2026 from Loyal's own material: LOY-001's effectiveness (RXE) section was accepted in November 2023, and Loyal's current veterinary brief describes LOY-001 and LOY-003 as in early-stage development. The regulatory momentum since has been on LOY-002, with its safety section accepted in January 2026 and the manufacturing section outstanding; LOY-003 completed its RXE section in 2026 (the acceptance mentioned above). Sources and dates: https://w0lph.github.io/k9/trials/loyal-loy-001-large-dogs.html
@traders fresh update: Celine Halioua (@celinehalioua) on X
Loyal is in my broader professional orbit (eg Celine was at the Future Forum), so I was surprised to see a LessWrong post arguing that their drug doesn't work...