Polish elections 2023: will exit poll results have an error of >=3.0 percentage points for any electoral committee?

12

Ṁ210Ṁ2k

resolved Oct 17

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Election is now over, results are being counted and will be published during the upcoming week.

According to Ipsos's exit poll the results are as follows:

Source: https://tvn24.pl/wybory-parlamentarne-2023/wybory-parlamentarne-2023-sondazowe-wyniki-wyborow-exit-poll-do-sejmu-i-senatu-7389963

Is the result of any electoral committee going to be at least 3 percentage points higher or lower?

Resolves based on election results published by PKW (National Electoral Commission).

Market context

Elections: World

Politics in Poland

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Official results are out, the largest difference is for PiS and it's 1.42 p.p., well below 3. Should resolve NO

Results (regularly updated): https://wybory.gov.pl/sejmsenat2023/en/sejm/wynik/pl

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