Polish elections 2023: will exit poll results have an error of >=3.0 percentage points for any electoral committee?
12
85
210
resolved Oct 17
Resolved
NO

Election is now over, results are being counted and will be published during the upcoming week.

According to Ipsos's exit poll the results are as follows:

Source: https://tvn24.pl/wybory-parlamentarne-2023/wybory-parlamentarne-2023-sondazowe-wyniki-wyborow-exit-poll-do-sejmu-i-senatu-7389963

Is the result of any electoral committee going to be at least 3 percentage points higher or lower?

Resolves based on election results published by PKW (National Electoral Commission).

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bought Ṁ500 of NO

Official results are out, the largest difference is for PiS and it's 1.42 p.p., well below 3. Should resolve NO