2023 Polish election and referendum: referendum to have >=10 p.p. less voter turnout?
10
190Ṁ224resolved Oct 17
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Along with the parliamentary election, there will be a referendum hosted which will ask four questions:
The opposition is encouraging people not to take part in the referendum, to decline the ballot for the referendum, vote only in the election.
Is the voter turnout for the referendum going to be at least 10 percentage points less than for the parliamentary election?
For example: resolves YES if the voter turnout for the referendum is 45,32% and 55,32% for the election, resolves NO in case for referendum 45,33% and 55,32% for election.
Related:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ19 | |
| 2 | Ṁ10 | |
| 3 | Ṁ7 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 | |
| 5 | Ṁ4 |
Sort by:
Referendum: 40.91% https://referendum.gov.pl/referendum2023/en/frekwencja/pl
Sejm election: 74,38% https://wybory.gov.pl/sejmsenat2023/en/frekwencja/Koniec/pl?elections=sejm
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the 2025 Polish presidential election?
[POLAND] Poland's 2025 presidential runoff victory margin under 1%?
26% chance
[POLAND] Will the winner of presidential elections in 2025 get less than 51% of votes in the runoff?
45% chance
Voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election exceeds 70%
80% chance
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2025?
46% chance
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2025?
33% chance
Will Poland implement a new electoral system for the Sejm before 2030?
25% chance
Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?
66% chance
Who will win the next parliamentary election in Poland?