2023 Polish election and referendum: referendum to have >=20 p.p. less voter turnout?
9
Ṁ170Ṁ177resolved Oct 17
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Along with the parliamentary election, there will be a referendum hosted which will ask four questions:
The opposition is encouraging people not to take part in the referendum, to decline the ballot for the referendum, vote only in the election.
Is the voter turnout for the referendum going to be at least 20 percentage points less than for the parliamentary election?
For example: resolves YES if the voter turnout for the referendum is 35,32% and 55,32% for the election, resolves NO in case for referendum 35,33% and 55,32% for election.
Related:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ30 | |
| 2 | Ṁ23 | |
| 3 | Ṁ10 |
Sort by:
predictedNO
Referendum: 40.91% https://referendum.gov.pl/referendum2023/en/frekwencja/pl
Sejm election: 74,38% https://wybory.gov.pl/sejmsenat2023/en/frekwencja/Koniec/pl?elections=sejm