Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will code vulnerabilities (CVE records) more then double in 2026?
27
Ṁ1.1kṀ2.7k
Dec 31
35%
chance

Will code vulnerabilities (CVE records) more then double in 2026?

As reported by Published CVE Records on CVE.org at https://www.cve.org/about/Metrics

(Keep in mind LLM reasoning/coding agents are generally PhD+ level, scoring #1 in the world in competitive coding benchmarks, etc... Anthropic Mythos, GPT 5.5 Cyber, etc.)

Market context
Programming
Computing
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?
95% chance
How many critical severity cyber vulnerabilities will be found in December 2026?
Will there be many more cyber vulnerabilities in 2027 due to AI?
70% chance
will there be a major linux virus in 2026?
16% chance
Will the number of pirate attacks against ships worldwide be higher in 2026 than in 2021?
61% chance
Will Signal be revealed to have a major undisclosed vulnerability by 2035?
47% chance
Will cybersecurity be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?
66% chance
Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?
50% chance
Sort by:

@MrBeastly Double as in total ever? Or relative to 2025? Or what?

@MrBeastly just to confirm, this market asks whether the total number of CVEs that exist at the end of 2026 will be double the total number at the start of 2026. yes?

bought Ṁ35 NO

They’re definitely not on pace to double as of Q1, not to mention the 2024 - 2025 jump was smaller than 2023 - 2024

@JaundicedBaboon I guess we'll see. There's been a lot of news about the next gen of LLMs being much better at finding 0days in OOS (Mythos, GPT5.5Cyber, etc). We'll see if any of those turn into CVEs (and get patched, hopefully) in 2026....

People are also trading

Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?
95% chance
How many critical severity cyber vulnerabilities will be found in December 2026?
Will there be many more cyber vulnerabilities in 2027 due to AI?
70% chance
will there be a major linux virus in 2026?
16% chance
Will the number of pirate attacks against ships worldwide be higher in 2026 than in 2021?
61% chance
Will Signal be revealed to have a major undisclosed vulnerability by 2035?
47% chance
Will cybersecurity be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?
66% chance
Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?
50% chance