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There's no closures or overpressure notice or launch license, so they can't launch today. Resolving No!

"The FAA has closed the SpaceX Starship Super Heavy mishap investigation. The final report cites multiple root causes of the April 20, 2023, mishap and 63 corrective actions SpaceX must take to prevent mishap reoccurrence. Corrective actions include redesigns of vehicle hardware to prevent leaks and fires, redesign of the launch pad to increase its robustness, incorporation of additional reviews in the design process, additional analysis and testing of safety critical systems and components including the Autonomous Flight Safety System, and the application of additional change control practices."

@Mqrius I wonder if the FAA didn't like having pressure applied to them with the closures

https://arstechnica.com/space/2023/09/starship-is-stacked-and-ready-to-make-its-second-launch-attempt/?comments=1&comments-page=1

"The launch date is pending regulatory approval, but it is not expected to occur before the middle of September."

https://twitter.com/Anton81191831/status/1698792246848426469

Arb buy no here and yes at

https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-the-next-starship-orbital-laun-2d7a3ce915c3

Will the next Starship Orbital flight attempt occur before September 16th?

44% chance. Resolves YES if, before September 16th local time at the launch site, an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream of a launch attempt of a Starship–Superheavy full stack intended to fly on an orbital or near-orbital trajectory. Market resolves when the stream goes live and shows views of the rocket and a countdown, not on e.g. a waiting screen. The launch needn't be successful and can even be scrubbed, as long as the attempt was serious enough that they put up the livestream. Resolves NO if there is clearly no such livestream before September 16, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened.

night even get lucky and launch on 14th or 15th and win both.

Naming one of the options "No" makes the trade listing kind of confusing 😂
Just remember, double negative is positive!

@Mqrius huh?

Will Starship launch September 8 to 13?

Option no means no not in 8-13. Where is double negative?

If you bet no on option no that is a double negative meaning yes in 8-13 range. This seems straight forward enough.

@ChristopherRandles Yeah, that's what I meant. It gets fun if you read the trade list, here's a triple negative:

It mostly seems to work out fine for everyone though, so I'm not too worried :)

S25 rolled out tonight, is currently between the chopsticks waiting to be stacked.