What year will ISRO's Gaganyaan-1 launch?
What year will ISRO's Gaganyaan-1 launch?
5
185Ṁ662028
26%
2024
40%
2025
13%
2026
11%
2027
10%
2028 or later or never
Gaganyaan-1 is the first orbital test flight of the Gaganyaan programme, India's human space flight programme. This test flight will not have humans on board. They're currently aiming for early 2024.
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(Typo, this flight will not have humans on board. Initially the description said it will have humans on board.)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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