Will Dwayne Johnson win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Plus
296
Ṁ110kJan 21
0.4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolving Jan 20, 2025
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@DeanValentine Well it does do that. 1 NO share plus 1 YES share always equals M$1, so there'd be no reason someone would want to hold both. If you buy one type of share while holding the other, they'll cancel out and return you mana.
I created a derivative market:
https://manifold.markets/Yusef/will-dwayne-johnson-win-the-2024-us
"Will Dwayne Johnson win the 2024 US Presidential Election?"
Not selling because I think this has even 1% chance of happening, I just needed the liquidity for things that had higher rate of return due to resolving sooner.
Anyone who isn't already 20 NO in this market can get "free" money by buying that with their loan, presuming good resolution. It's just two years out.
I created https://manifold.markets/M/will-yusef-question-about-dwayne-jo to ask is this market going to be resolved correctly
Related questions
Related questions
If Joe Biden becomes the Democratic nominee, will he win the 2024 election?
37% chance
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
26% chance
Will "The Rock" Dwayne Johnson run for the Senate or the House of Representatives before 2050?
20% chance
During which election will Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson next run for President of the United States?
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 United States Presidential election?
5% chance