resolving Jan 20, 2025
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Dean Valentinebought Ṁ10 of NO
fk when you have no and buy 100$ worth of yes it actually sells the no automatically
Isaac Kingis predicting NO at 5%
@DeanValentine Well it does do that. 1 NO share plus 1 YES share always equals M$1, so there'd be no reason someone would want to hold both. If you buy one type of share while holding the other, they'll cancel out and return you mana.


Account deletion requestedis predicting NO at 3% I created a derivative market:
https://manifold.markets/Yusef/will-dwayne-johnson-win-the-2024-us
"Will Dwayne Johnson win the 2024 US Presidential Election?"

JiSKis predicting NO at 3% @M you mean https://manifold.markets/M/will-yusef-question-about-dwayne-jo-637c1bad64bd


Confluxsold Ṁ50 of NOBased on the creator’s bio and other information, pretty worried they’re not going to resolve this right. Obviously Dwayne Johnson won’t win.

John Beshirsold Ṁ3,037 of NONot selling because I think this has even 1% chance of happening, I just needed the liquidity for things that had higher rate of return due to resolving sooner.
Anyone who isn't already 20 NO in this market can get "free" money by buying that with their loan, presuming good resolution. It's just two years out.


Mosiahbought Ṁ1 of YESCan you explain why you think it's more than 5% that The Rock will smell what the White House chef is cooking?
I made this market as a test of the resilience of play-money prediction markets, because I personally can't understand why anyone would give credence to them....
Alex Powerbought Ṁ20 of NOI think the correct odds are closer to 5% than 15%. But definitely higher than 1%.

Account deletion requestedsold Ṁ44 of NOI created https://manifold.markets/M/will-yusef-question-about-dwayne-jo to ask is this market going to be resolved correctly

Confluxbought Ṁ100 of NOMy god, how is this at 19% now? Buying some NO that I can sell if needed once it gets back down to like 1%.
Lorenzobought Ṁ142 of NOMaybe someone using it to transfer money between accounts? Or there is a derivative market I don't see? Or someone YOLOing M$ 1717?
Sort by:
YES payouts
Ṁ8,602
Ṁ8,041
Ṁ2,272
Ṁ1,552
Ṁ600
Ṁ533
Ṁ410
Ṁ374
Ṁ335
Ṁ314
Ṁ313
Ṁ252
Ṁ246
Ṁ232
Ṁ203
Ṁ200
Ṁ127
Ṁ106
Ṁ81
NO payouts
Ṁ11,129
Ṁ1,745
Ṁ1,107
Ṁ1,021
Ṁ848
Ṁ651
Ṁ588
Ṁ526
Ṁ361
Ṁ359
Ṁ338
Ṁ330
Ṁ270
Ṁ255
Ṁ220
Ṁ219
Ṁ208
Ṁ131






















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