Will Yusef question about Dwayne Johnson be resolved correctly? (one about winning 2024 US Presidential Election) [CFMM market]
12
20
Ṁ50
resolved Sep 15
Resolved
N/A
Resolves as NO if - question will be not resolved and there are three weeks with a new president - question is resolved and Dwayne Johnson in theory may still win election (even as write-in candidate or due to unfaithful electors or similar silliness) - question is resolved as YES despite that a different candidate won - question is resolved as NO despite this candidate won - question is resolved as NA - question gets its resolve criteria redefined Resolves as YES if - question is resolved as NO and a different candidate won - question is resolved as YES and this candidate won Link: https://manifold.markets/Yusef/will-dwayne-johnson-win-the-2024-us Old-style market: https://manifold.markets/M/will-yusef-question-about-dwayne-jo Close date updated to 2025-01-24 11:59 pm
Get Ṁ200 play money
3 Comments
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88 Trades
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predicted NO

Sorry, on review of what I am doing I decided to shutdown Manifold account. Resolving my markets as NA seems the fairest solution to people active on them.

- I decided to spend my time in a better way and Manifold is one of

things that I decided to eliminate in the ongoing owerview

- Daily bonus was effective, to the point of being scary, intrusive and

unwelcome

- Inability to block and hide unwanted markets/groups makes it

obnoxious to see some markets. Every time I read title of

https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-scott-alexander-write-an-acx-b

I die a bit inside and question what I am doing with my life

bought Ṁ1 of NO
> Eg, it's theoretically possible for a constitutional amendment passed in 2028 to retroactively make him the winner of the 2024 election. ops, it is too creative and I have not expected it. But this should be covered by > - question is resolved as NO and a different candidate won > - question is resolved as YES and this candidate won I think? Once someone will win and question will be resolved it is impossible to get back and reresolve the question.
bought Ṁ1 of YES
Buying yes even though there's too much wiggle room in resolving no if Johnson is able to win "in theory". Eg, it's theoretically possible for a constitutional amendment passed in 2028 to retroactively make him the winner of the 2024 election.

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