Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the date on which NASA officially announces the names of the astronauts selected to crew the Artemis III mission. The official announcement will be defined as a press release, official blog post on nasa.gov, or a formal statement from the NASA Administrator or their designated spokesperson. If NASA announces that no crew will be assigned to Artemis 3 (e.g., if the mission is transitioned to an uncrewed flight), the market will resolve to N/A.

Background

Artemis III is an upcoming NASA mission currently scheduled for mid-2027. Following recent program updates in early 2026, the mission’s scope was adjusted to focus on rendezvous and docking tests in low Earth orbit with commercial Human Landing System (HLS) vehicles, rather than a lunar landing. As of April 2026, NASA officials have indicated that the crew announcement is expected "soon," though no specific date has been provided.