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MANIFOLD
My current relationship lasts >6 months (1 Jan to 1 Jul 2026)
11
Ṁ100Ṁ247
Jul 1
74%
chance

Resolution Criteria

  • Market resolves YES if my current partner and I (as of 1 January 2026) are still dating as of 1 July 2026, at 23:59 UTC.

  • Market resolves NO if either party confirms that the relationship has permanently ended before the resolution date.

  • Temporary breaks followed by reconciliation will not trigger a NO resolution.

  • Resolution will be based on personal confirmation from both parties regarding relationship status. In the event of a disagreement between parties whether we are still dating, market resolves as NO.

  • In the case where either party revokes consent to having a market predicting this event, market will resolve as current probability.

Note

  • Both parties pre-commit to not participate in trading on this market.

(🎩 Hat tip to @David549 for market wording that I’ve adapted)

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