When will my kid be born?
11
10kṀ6762
2026
May 16, 2026
21%
April 12
22%
April 19
26%
April 26
27%
May 3
32%
May 6
33%
May 8
34%
May 10
29%
May 13
28%
May 17
25%
May 24

My kid was conceived August 16. I ovulated on August 17. Due date calculated based on ovulation date is May 10, i.e. someone with a "normal" menstrual cycle would have had their last period begin August 3 if they ovulated on August 17.

I'm 31, I'll be 32 when the kid is born, and this is my first pregnancy.

April 12 = 36 weeks

...

May 3 = 39 weeks

May 10 = 40 weeks (due date)

Conception market for context: https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-my-friend-get-pregnant-market-LyZIyqnAug?r=TW9sbHlIaWNrbWFu

Will annull if I miscarry. At this time (9 weeks 5 days) my miscarriage odds are less than 2.5%

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bought Ṁ10 NO

Does this round to the nearest option?

Congratulations!

bought Ṁ7 NO

congrats!

Congrats!!!

bought Ṁ100 NO

So date of birth = yes and all other options = no? Or closest date is yes and all others no?

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