When will my kid be born?
11
10kṀ67622026
May 16, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
21%
April 12
22%
April 19
26%
April 26
27%
May 3
32%
May 6
33%
May 8
34%
May 10
29%
May 13
28%
May 17
25%
May 24
My kid was conceived August 16. I ovulated on August 17. Due date calculated based on ovulation date is May 10, i.e. someone with a "normal" menstrual cycle would have had their last period begin August 3 if they ovulated on August 17.
I'm 31, I'll be 32 when the kid is born, and this is my first pregnancy.
April 12 = 36 weeks
...
May 3 = 39 weeks
May 10 = 40 weeks (due date)
Conception market for context: https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-my-friend-get-pregnant-market-LyZIyqnAug?r=TW9sbHlIaWNrbWFu
Will annull if I miscarry. At this time (9 weeks 5 days) my miscarriage odds are less than 2.5%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
When will Baby Kirsh (aka "MLK") be born?
10/13/25
Will I have my first child by August 2026?
81% chance
Will I have a baby by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?
34% chance
Will I become a parent before May 14th, 2028?
90% chance
When will I get married?
1/23/28
When will I have a child?
4/4/28
Will I have a child in the next 3 years?
4% chance
In what year will I have a first biological child?
2031
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Baby Kirsh (aka "MLK") be born?
10/13/25
Will I have my first child by August 2026?
81% chance
Will I have a baby by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?
34% chance
Will I become a parent before May 14th, 2028?
90% chance
When will I get married?
1/23/28
When will I have a child?
4/4/28
Will I have a child in the next 3 years?
4% chance
In what year will I have a first biological child?
2031