Any national poll by nonpartisan polling firm currently polling the Republican primary.

Resolves to yes if Haley has any numerical proportion greater than Desantis to .1 percent precision

No if Haley is tied or Desantis leads

Resolved YES: https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2023-national-poll-trump-making-inroads-with-young-voters-against-biden-maintains-majority-support-in-republican-primary/