Will Nikki Haley pass Ron Desantis in any national poll by January 1 2024
US Politics•2024 US Presidential Election•2024 Republican Primaries•Nikki Haley•Polls•Ron DeSantis•Florida
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resolved Oct 20
Resolved
YES

Any national poll by nonpartisan polling firm currently polling the Republican primary.

Resolves to yes if Haley has any numerical proportion greater than Desantis to .1 percent precision

No if Haley is tied or Desantis leads

Resolved YES: https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2023-national-poll-trump-making-inroads-with-young-voters-against-biden-maintains-majority-support-in-republican-primary/

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Resolves YES @Molari https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2023-national-poll-trump-making-inroads-with-young-voters-against-biden-maintains-majority-support-in-republican-primary/

October 2023 National Poll: Trump Making Inroads with Young Voters Against Biden, Maintains Majority Support in Republican Primary - Emerson Polling
Concern for Immigration Increases Six Points in the Past Month, Driven by Northeastern Voters The…Full Release & Results
predicted YES

What about the margin of error?

predicted YES

@CarlosJHernandez Not taking that into account. Just whether she is ahead on the mean

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Should this be January 1, 2024?

predicted YES

@KentWhitaker Ha yes

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