Will there be another assassination attempt on trump by the end of the presidential term?
8
100Ṁ4102029
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve as YES if there is a credible assassination attempt on Donald Trump's life between market creation and January 20, 2029.
For an incident to qualify as an "assassination attempt," it must meet at least one of the following criteria:
Law enforcement or security agencies officially classify the incident as an assassination attempt
An individual is arrested and charged with attempting to assassinate Trump
Clear evidence emerges that someone took concrete steps toward killing Trump (e.g., firing a weapon, planting an explosive device, etc.)
The market will resolve as NO if no such attempt occurs by January 20, 2029.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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