Joe Biden dies from prostate cancer?

100Ṁ1318

2030

90%

chance

ALL

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden dies from prostate cancer. Verification will be based on official statements from Biden's family, his personal office, or reputable news organizations such as the Financial Times (ft.com). If no such confirmation is available, the market will resolve to "NA". If Joe Biden dies from other causes then the market resolves to “No.”

Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to Yes if prostate cancer is a major contributing factor to Joe Biden's death. This includes instances where prostate cancer or its treatment leads to increased susceptibility to another condition that becomes the immediate cause of death.

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bought Ṁ2 NO

He Might Get Hit By A Bus

@TiredCliche He is a former president, I don't think the secret service would let anything like that happen.

bought Ṁ30 YES

How exactly will you resolve this? Because people with slow diseases often experience other problems, like kidney failure, cardiac arrest etc.

@Ersagun borrowing a definition from a similar market: If prostate cancer is a major contributing factor to death, the market resolves YES. This includes cases where prostate cancer or its treatment causes increased susceptibility to another condition that is the immediate cause of death.