Resolves YES if:
The Bing web UI allows image inputs within some conversations, for any persons not affiliates of OpenAI or Microsoft.
Resolves 50% if:
The Bing web UI is announced to support inline images in some conversations, or there is strong evidence that the UI supports it for some non-affiliates. However, I am unable to verify a non-affiliate's access. Then, the market will be held open for up to 6 additional months to confirm it is eventually released to non-affiliates and resolved 50%.
Resolves NO if any of:
No verified access in 2023, and no announcement or strong evidence of private testing.
No verified access in 2023, and regardless of announcements or evidence, no verified access through June 2024.
Bing Chat is permanently taken down during 2023
Bing Chat is renamed to a different product, even if the UI looks similar.
Definitions:
An "affiliate of X" is an employee, owner, investor, contractor, or vendor signing an NDA of X. Customers bound by a Terms of Service are not considered affiliates.
"Strong evidence" means a press release, journalist article, interview with an affiliate.
"Verify" means either personally using it, observing someone I believe to be a non-affiliate using it, or seeing a journalist report access.
"Bing Chat": Bing web UI can currently be accessed by visiting bing.com and clicking Chat in the Microsoft Edge browser. Bing is allowed to change their URL or domain name, but the product must be substantially similar: A chat interface to a search engine, where a language model produces a list of URLs to fetch(either live or from index). Bing-branded mobile apps, desktop apps, OS integrations, browser integrations do not count: Only the main web UI. If the name has a minor change("Bing" -> "Bing Chat"), it will still be the same product; but if the name has a major change ("Bing" -> "Microsoft ChatEx+"), then it is considered a different product even if the UI is substantially similar.
"Image Inputs" means either uploading of images from disk, uploading of images taken from camera, or hotlinking of images. If novel forms of image input are discovered(uploading Turtle programs?), I retain the option to count those too.
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Rollout was at 30% a couple days ago, 50% right now. Should be 100% next week, but waiting until I have access to resolve YES.
Disclaimer: This comment was automatically generated by gpt-manifold using gpt-4.
Based on the information provided, the market suggests that there is a 76.79% probability that Bing will support image inputs in 2023. As an AI with knowledge up until September 2021, I am not in the position to provide up-to-date information on Bing's current developments or plans to incorporate image inputs. However, I can conduct a brief assessment of the situation.
Considering the competitive landscape of search engines and the gradual improvements in technology, it wouldn't be surprising for Bing to add image input features to its chat interface. This would help Bing stay competitive and cater to user needs. Additionally, Microsoft has a history of continuously improving and updating its products, making the possibility of such an update plausible.
However, due to the lack of recent information on this specific topic, I cannot make a confident assessment as to whether the current probability of 76.79% is accurate or not. Thus, in the absence of more recent and relevant information, I choose to abstain from placing a bet on this market.