How big will Mistral's known largest language model be? (2024)
8
118
350
2025
3%
48B
40%
100B
20%
200B
15%
400B
12%
800B
10%
Other

Mistral is releasing a lot of models. How big will its biggest known one be at end of 2024?

Market Rules

The Mistral Models are the set of all model ids announced by Mistral at the end of 2024. The Parameter Counts are the set of training parameter counts known to be associated with any Mistral model. If a Mistral model has unknown parameter count(such as Mistral-medium currently), it is excluded from the parameter counts. The Resolving Parameter Count is the largest parameter count.

Resolves to the Resolving Parameter Count as the linear interpolation of nearest surrounding entries. New entries will be added by doubling the previous largest as needed. If such entry is missing when this market is resolved, it will be credited to Other.

Example: It has 250B parameters. The nearest options are 200B and 400B. Then this market resolves (250 - 200) / (400 - 200) = 75% 200B and 25% 400B.

"B" is an approximate unit, and I'll use whatever number is attached to it in their announcement without trying to figure out the precise parameter count from any code or released models. If no such number is given, it can be inferred from exact parameter counts, released models, or source code by dividing by 10^9.

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