Will Elon Musk's "Q*/GPT-4 are AGI" lawsuit be dismissed for lack of standing?


  • Resolves YES if the lawsuit is dismissed because Elon Musk lacks standing.

  • Resolves NO if Elon Musk is judged to have legal standing, or if the lawsuit is dismissed for a different reason.

  • Resolves 50% if 1 month after market close and after Mira reminds traders to present evidence, no trader has either linked evidence that the case is on-going, linked evidence that it should resolve YES, or linked evidence that it should resolve NO.

  • Resolves NA if this market gets fewer than 20 traders.

  • Traders are responsible for presenting evidence for this market. I may search myself, but I won't follow the case closely.

  • Default close date is end of 2024. I will extend it if the case continues in increments of 1 year. Resolves NO at end of 2030 if market is still open.

See also: /MiraBot/will-gpt4-be-legally-considered-agi


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