
Context: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35692476 and https://alter.com/trademarks/gpt-97733259
The trademark must be on GPT. "ChatGPT" doesn't cut it, nor any other variation.
This market will resolve NO once the trademark application has been rejected, as long as there's no straightforward appeal in progress that makes sense to wait for.
People are also trading
Betting NO. The USPTO examining attorney issued a final refusal calling GPT "merely descriptive" and added an advisory that it is "likely generic" — the strongest possible negative signal. Generic marks are categorically unregistrable under U.S. trademark law, regardless of acquired distinctiveness. The EUIPO independently invalidated OpenAI GPT trademarks in Oct 2025, and China also rejected them. The ChatGPT acquired-distinctiveness win at TTAB (April 2025) does not help here — ChatGPT was found descriptive, not generic. Different legal category entirely. I estimate ~10%.
Remains pending. Reopening. See https://tsdr.uspto.gov/#caseNumber=97733259&caseSearchType=US_APPLICATION&caseType=DEFAULT&searchType=statusSearch