Will Waymo give public driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of Q2 (June) 2024? [description]
20
142
390
Jul 1
15%
chance
https://sfstandard.com/2024/03/01/waymo-san-francisco-cpuc-expansion-approval/
Mar 3

Resolves YES if Waymo intentionally routes a public driverless ride-hail ride onto at least 1 kilometer of any freeway in or directly adjacent& to San Francisco before the market close time. Resolves NO otherwise.

Public meaning the ride must be given to a non-employee (of Waymo/Alphabet).

Freeway meaning a segment of highway (road) that is barrier-divided (k-rail, guardrail, or cable, between opposing traffic), has a speed limit of at least 45 mph, and is limited-access (no attached bikeway, sidewalk, or crosswalks; and no intersections or driveways--excepting toll plazas; for a continuous segment).

Examples of SF freeways for this question:

  • I-80, I-280, the Central Freeway, US-101 south of the Central Freeway, US-101/CA-1 through the Presidio and across the GGB, CA-1 through Pacifica, etc.

  • SFO "collector-distributor" lanes along US-101 (i.e. from San Bruno Ave and Millbrae Ave) to/from the airport

Examples of SF non-freeways for this question:

  • 19th Ave (CA-1), Sloat Blvd/Skyline Blvd (CA-35), Great Highway,

  • Alemany Blvd and San Jose Ave: Some segments are 45 mph, but have attached bikeways.

  • John Daly Blvd -> Junipero Serra Blvd -> Alemany Blvd: Too short

  • John Daly Blvd -> Junipero Serra Blvd -> 19th Ave: Long enough but has attached sidewalks/crosswalks

  • Local SFO airport access roads - 35 mph speed limit, too short, and not separated


Update 2024-02-16: For "adjacent" I will include all the counties which border SF: Marin, Contra Costa, Alameda, and San Mateo

Other end dates:

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spotted one on the freeway today (there was a person inside)

@cc6 Did you see if it had someone behind the wheel?

@MingweiSamuel yeah, there was someone sitting in the drivers seat

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