When will AI Impacts publish the next Expert Survey on Progress in AI? | Manifold

When will AI Impacts publish the next Expert Survey on Progress in AI?

1

Ṁ275Ṁ610

Dec 31

1%

March 2026

1%

April 2026

11%

May 2026

11%

June 2026

11%

July 2026

11%

August 2026

11%

September 2026

11%

October 2026

11%

November 2026

11%

December 2026

11%

Later or Never

AI Impacts has published three surveys of AI experts views on AI progress. The first was in 2016, the second in 2022, and the third in 2024.

In Oct 2025 they said the 2024 results were coming "soon": https://blog.aiimpacts.org/p/faq-expert-survey-on-progress-in

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