MANIFOLD
When will AI Impacts publish the next Expert Survey on Progress in AI?
1
Ṁ275Ṁ10
Dec 31
8%
March 2026
9%
April 2026
9%
May 2026
9%
June 2026
9%
July 2026
9%
August 2026
9%
September 2026
9%
October 2026
9%
November 2026
9%
December 2026
9%
Later or Never

AI Impacts has published three surveys of AI experts views on AI progress. The first was in 2016, the second in 2022, and the third in 2024.

In Oct 2025 they said the 2024 results were coming "soon": https://blog.aiimpacts.org/p/faq-expert-survey-on-progress-in

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy