Which of the following top-20-GDP countries will be next to have an acting head of state assassinated?
Mini
17
206
2050
10%
United States of America
6%
China
1.3%
Japan
1.2%
Germany
12%
India
1.2%
United Kingdom
1.2%
France
1.2%
Canada
11%
Russia
4%
Italy
8%
Iran
2%
Brazil
8%
South Korea
1.2%
Australia
20%
Mexico
1.2%
Spain
1.7%
Indonesia
3%
Saudi Arabia
5%
Netherlands
1.7%
Turkey

Listed are the countries with the twenty largest nominal GDPs as of Dec 18th, 2022.

"Constitutional monarchs" and other nominal heads of states do not count; the person has to hold the most politically powerful position in that country. I will decide which political position this is in the comment section if prompted and add it to the description; for most countries it should be obvious.

Close date updated to 2050-01-01 12:00 am

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Why is NL so high

I really don't think russia has a >20% chance over the field, or more than Iran.

Did you mean to close this on Dec 25?

@Yev No.

@DeanValentine Is there any way I can fix that?

@DeanValentine There's an edit button next to the close date.

@Yev That I can still access? Where?

@DeanValentine Found it. Thanks.

Wish I could subsidize this