
AGI's consensus definition reaches alignment as follows: current tests + new tests in planning+reasoning capabilities
2
1kṀ200Jul 8
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By consensus definition referring to what can be both quantitatively and qualitatively accepted by both majority of researchers + the broader population of what and when AGI is just commonly accepted to be.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]
Will we get AGI before 2026?
4% chance
Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?
37% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
7% chance
By when will we have AGI?
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?
Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
35% chance
Will the 1st AGI solve AI Alignment and build an ASI which is aligned with its goals?
17% chance
When will there be an AGI for most tasks I care about?
Who will be first to AGI