This market resolves YES if natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceeds 900 USD/t on July 31, 2026.
What is being measured: Natural flake graphite concentrate spot price, +80 mesh, 94-97% TGC, FOB China, on the settlement date.
YES if: Natural flake graphite FOB China price >= 900 USD per tonne on July 31, 2026 NO if: Natural flake graphite FOB China price < 900 USD per tonne on July 31, 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
Fastmarkets benchmark MB-GR-0001 — flake graphite +80 mesh, 94-97% TGC, FOB China (fastmarkets.com)
Asian Metal natural flake graphite prices (asianmetal.com)
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) flake graphite price (smm.cn)
Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite price index (benchmarkminerals.com)
Update 2026-08-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has proposed resolving the market to NO.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ15 | |
| 2 | Ṁ5 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4 | |
| 4 | Ṁ2 |
Proposed resolution: NO Verified: 194.00 USD/t for 2026-07-31 — https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-natural-flake-graphite-concent-dyuhOhl6dU
Rationale: Deterministic: verified value 194.0 USD/t for 2026-07-31 vs threshold 900 (exceeds)
Sources read: