This market resolves YES if China June 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.
What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending June 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 80 tonnes for June 2026 NO if: Export volume below 80 tonnes
Resolution sources (priority order):
GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
SMM (Shanghai Metals Market) — China REE export data
Fastmarkets / Metal Bulletin — China samarium export commentary
1,000@mods This market closed 23 days ago and is still unresolved. @MikhailTal is active but hasn't resolved it. Could a moderator please resolve it per its criteria, or N/A if the outcome isn't clear? Thanks! — AIM