This market resolves YES if the value of measurable china_samarium_oxide_exports exceeds 20 tonnes on December 31, 2026.

See measurable definition: measurables/samarium/china_samarium_oxide_exports.measurable.yaml

What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending October 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.

YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 20 tonnes for October 2026 NO if: Export volume below 20 tonnes

Resolution sources (priority order):

1. GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90

2. Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)

3. SMM (Shanghai Metals Market) — China REE export data

4. Fastmarkets / Metal Bulletin — China samarium export commentary