ELO of GPT-4.5 on LLM arena (1 month after release)
28
1kṀ11k
resolved Mar 27
100%98%
>1325
0.1%
<=1233
0.1%
1233-1250
0.6%
1250-1275
1.0%
1275-1300
0.4%
1300-1325

https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard

If GPT-4.5 never released for public usage resolves N/A

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4mo

Ok, yeah, I think we all know how this one will be resolved.

9mo

At what point do we resolve this N/A after GPT 5 is out and no GPT 4.5? How long do we wait?

9mo

If gpt-5 is released I will N/A this question. If Sam says that there will not be 4.5 I will N/A. If there is new model and general view that this is gpt-5 despite being named differently I will N/A.

Yes, this makes it quite likely to N/A. I did not think that this would be the case when I created this question, but I think this way works the best for consistency reasons

1y

is gpt4o == gpt4.5?

1y

@StephenMWalkerII If there is a credible source saying that it was supposed to be named 4.5 at some point then yes, otherwise no.

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What will be GPT-5's score on LMSYS Chatbot Arena?
Will GPT-5 score higher than 1350 on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard
95% chance
GPT5 gets 1500 elo on lmarena.ai?
48% chance
Will the GPT4+code-interpreter+search score > 1350 on Lmsys Arena Leaderboard?
49% chance
Will GPT-5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?
71% chance
Will OpenAI's next major LLM (after GPT-4) surpass 74% accuracy on the GPQA benchmark?
86% chance
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75% chance
When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?
How much time will pass between an LLM being released that beats GPT4 and the next OpenAI LLM being released? (+ANSWERS)
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