The probability of this market resolving YES is equal to y’all’s prediction. | Manifold

The probability of this market resolving YES is equal to y’all’s prediction.

Basic

11

Ṁ1728

Jan 2

50%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The predicted yes value in this market is the chance of it resolving. It resolves on January 1st.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Non-Predictive Profits

#Free Mana [Legacy]

#Self-resolving

#Figuratively Free Mana

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

It resolves on January 1st.

just to clarify, because of timezone things - am i correct in understanding that this resolves according to the probability at closing time?

@MikhaFischler Seconding the question

Related questions

If the chance for this market to resolve is even, this market will resolve yes. Otherwise it resolves no.

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Related questions

If the chance for this market to resolve is even, this market will resolve yes. Otherwise it resolves no.

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules