The probability of this market resolving YES is equal to y’all’s prediction. | Manifold

The probability of this market resolving YES is equal to y’all’s prediction.

Basic

10

Ṁ1667

Jan 2

89%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The predicted yes value in this market is the chance of it resolving. It resolves on January 1st.

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It resolves on January 1st.

just to clarify, because of timezone things - am i correct in understanding that this resolves according to the probability at closing time?

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This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026

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