The probability of this market resolving YES is equal to y’all’s prediction.
Basic
10
Ṁ1727
Jan 2
50%
chance

The predicted yes value in this market is the chance of it resolving. It resolves on January 1st.

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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It resolves on January 1st.

just to clarify, because of timezone things - am i correct in understanding that this resolves according to the probability at closing time?

@MikhaFischler Seconding the question

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