Will the Tesla "Redwood" be available for purchase and delivery by June 30, 2026?
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2026
45%
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Resolves YES if customers are able to buy and physically receive the new Tesla car codenamed "Redwood" by June 30, 2026, excluding options for pre-purchase or reservation without delivery.

A minimum of 420 cars must be delivered to be considered a YES. Resolves NO otherwise, including if Tesla ceases to exist or the "Redwood" project is cancelled.

https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-plans-build-new-electric-vehicles-mid-2025-sources-2024-01-24/

Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed on a post-earnings call on Wednesday that the company expects to start production of its next-generation EV at its Texas factory in the second half of 2025.

[...]

Musk said on Wednesday: "I'm often optimistic regarding time. But our current schedule shows that we will start production towards the end of 2025" and that "We'll be sleeping on the line practically."

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