Will the Tesla "Redwood" be available for purchase and delivery by June 30, 2026?
10
106
Ṁ143Ṁ210
2026
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if customers are able to buy and physically receive the new Tesla car codenamed "Redwood" by June 30, 2026, excluding options for pre-purchase or reservation without delivery.
A minimum of 420 cars must be delivered to be considered a YES. Resolves NO otherwise, including if Tesla ceases to exist or the "Redwood" project is cancelled.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed on a post-earnings call on Wednesday that the company expects to start production of its next-generation EV at its Texas factory in the second half of 2025.
[...]
Musk said on Wednesday: "I'm often optimistic regarding time. But our current schedule shows that we will start production towards the end of 2025" and that "We'll be sleeping on the line practically."
Related market:
/SIMOROBO/will-the-tesla-redwood-be-available-2f5bcb832bda
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will I take delivery of a Cybertruck before June 1st 2024
35% chance
Will I see a Tesla Cybertruck in Atlanta by June 1, 2024?
61% chance
Will the Tesla "Model 2" start deliveries before then end of 2025?
33% chance
By June 2024, will Musk have sold another Tesla share?
10% chance
Will Tesla change its state of incorporation from Delaware by 30th June 2024?
33% chance
Will Tesla's first robotaxi fare be sold by the end of 2026?
21% chance
Will Rivian R2 deliveries begin before June 15, 2026?
34% chance
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
32% chance
Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?
22% chance
When will the first deliveries of the 2nd gen Tesla Roadster occur?