Will Elon Musk reject Darwinian Evolution before January 1, 2026?
56
1kṀ14k
2026
4%
chance

Resolves YES if Elon Musk tweets, comments, or otherwise publicly expresses genuine doubt in Darwinian Evolution before Jan 1, 2026. “Darwinian evolution” here refers to “macro” evolution — specifically to genetic mutation and natural selection resulting in a dramatic increase in the complexity of a genome. (For example: dinosaurs evolving into birds, primates evolving into humans, fish evolving into reptiles, amoebas evolving into vertebrates)

Resolves NO if this does not occur.

(“Microevolution” as seen in medicine-resistant bacteria, Darwin's finches, dog breeds, etc. is not relevant to this question)

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