Will Kalshi win their lawsuit against the CFTC?
➕
Plus
20
Ṁ7430
resolved Sep 6
100%99.0%
Yes
1.0%
No

Kalshi is suing the CFTC for blocking their election market contracts:

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/predictions-market-kalshi-sues-cftc-blocking-election-contracts-2023-11-01/

Info about the CFTC decision here:

https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8780-23

Question resolves YES if they win, NO if they lose, settle, lawsuit gets dismissed, etc. I set the end date to 2030 to play it safe, but will resolve before that when the decision comes out.

NOTE - I am rooting for Kalshi to win, might end up publicly supporting them, and may even submit an amicus brief if I have time. So I am a biased judge of this market in the sense that I AM trying to influence the outcome in one direction, although I doubt I'll have any impact.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
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Resolving YES, congrats to Kalshi!! Great news!!

Coindesk is reporting that Kalshi has won! Looking like this will resolve YES, but just to be extra careful I'm going to wait for additional confirmation before officially calling it.

https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/09/06/kalshi-cleared-to-offer-congressional-prediction-markets-in-victory-against-cftc/

bought Ṁ2,110 YES
bought Ṁ3,000 YES

Resolves YES

bought Ṁ50 YES

The Kalshi team told me they’ll win so logically they will. 😎

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