Kalshi is suing the CFTC for blocking their election market contracts:

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/predictions-market-kalshi-sues-cftc-blocking-election-contracts-2023-11-01/

Info about the CFTC decision here:

https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8780-23

Question resolves YES if they win, NO if they lose, settle, lawsuit gets dismissed, etc. I set the end date to 2030 to play it safe, but will resolve before that when the decision comes out.

NOTE - I am rooting for Kalshi to win, might end up publicly supporting them, and may even submit an amicus brief if I have time. So I am a biased judge of this market in the sense that I AM trying to influence the outcome in one direction, although I doubt I'll have any impact.