Who will win Colombia's 2026 presidential election?

Question

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of Colombia's 2026 presidential election by Colombia's National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral de Colombia). If a runoff election is required, the market will resolve based on the final winner after all rounds of voting are complete.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Paloma Valencia, followed by Iván Cepeda and Abelardo de la Espriella are most likely. See the market for live updates (28 traders, as of Mar 14, 2026).

Resolution Criteria

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