Former President Donald Trump churned through many campaign managers and strategists (including Corey Lewandowski, Paul Manafort, Kellyanne Conway, Steve Bannon, Brad Parscale, and Bill Stepien).
Will Trump fire Chris LaCivita as "co-campaign manager" by 11:59pm ET on September 1, 2024? The resolution sources are (a) an American 'major outlet' referenced here, (b) all official campaign websites and social media channels, or (c) any Trump communication, press release, tweet, truth, or statement.
Firing, dismal, taking a leave of absence, resignation, reassigning to a PAC, or leaving the campaign for any reason will count as YES. "Layering" or hiring a new strategist above LaCivita will not count. His position as COO to the RNC is irrelevant to this question. If there is uncertainty about LaCavita's status with the Trump campaign, the market creator will use best judgement to resolve the question.
The market creator will not trade in this market. The market will not resolve as a percentage under any circumstances.
Background:
Donald Trump presidential campaign staff, 2024
Who are Trump's top presidential campaign aides?
Trump's election A-team: Lean, mean and largely unseen
Chris LaCivita, the Swiftboater Coming for Biden
Harris slices Trump’s national lead in half: New polling average
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Two Trump campaign officials, Cheung and Chris LaCivita, had insulted the cemetery worker in public statements on Tuesday. Cheung asserted that she was “suffering from a mental health episode” while LaCivita said that she was a “despicable individual” who “does not deserve to represent the hallowed grounds of Arlington National Cemetery.”
Polymarket version of this market:
https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fires-campaign-manager
Note the terms and close dates slightly differ.
'Sharks are circling:' Reporter spills insider details on 'Trump campaign leadership'
https://www.rawstory.com/trump-campaign-2024/
During an appearance on MSNBC's "Morning Joe" on Thursday, Guardian reporter Hugo Lowell confirmed that LaCivita and Wiles appear to be on thin ice.
“As we head into the home stretch of this election, we are continuing to add to our impressive campaign team,” Trump’s co-campaign managers, Susie Wiles and Chris LaCivita, said in a statement Thursday. The five hires, they added, "are all veterans of prior Trump campaigns and their unmatched experience will help President Trump prosecute the case against Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, the most radical ticket in American history.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/15/trump-campaign-lewandowski-new-hires/
In August 2016 Trump had a similar meltdown, according to Scaramucci, and 'blew everybody out'... which is when he brought in Kellyanne Conway and Steve Bannon as advisors.
Trump is reportedly talking to his confidantes about firing his campaign managers Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles, who - according to Scaramucci - are 'very talented people.'
While Trump is laying low in Mar-a-Lago and trying to shift the blame for his downward spiral in the polls, his new opponent is striding around swing states with her freshly picked vice president in tow.
Low self-esteem leakers, show yourselves!
https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1822779169731670316
"Trump has begun asking friends and allies how his campaign staff is doing — a question that some say could lead to staff changes, though "
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/07/trump-election-campaign/