I will be able to purchase an Apple folding phone at an Apple store before September 30, 2026

Question

I live in Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

It seems to me that there are two main factors in deciding this bet:

Will Apple announce a folding phone?

Will the folding phone be widely available in stores by the end of September?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 32% chance (4 traders, as of Jul 9, 2026).

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