Toddler Trolley Problem: Where does my son draw the line?
80
16kṀ170k
resolved Jun 23
Resolved
YES
0 - Stops the trolley when all it takes is changing a signal to red
Resolved
YES
1 - Pulls the lever
Resolved
NO
2 - Pushes the fat man
Resolved
YES
3 - Transfers the organs
Resolved
NO
Copenhagen Interpretation of Ethics - On any question, avoids responsibility by saying he would close his eyes, look away, ignore the trolley, or something similar, but wouldn't do anything to stop the trolley.
Resolved
NO
Full Deontology (does none of the above)
Resolved
NO
Full Utilitarianism (does all of the above)
Resolved
YES
Outcome inconsistent with any known moral theory.
Resolved
YES
Pre Show prop Bet: Child passes the Marshmallow Test
Resolved
YES
PROP BET - Displays senseless bloodthirst (in any hypothetical, kills people for zero benefit)
Resolved
NO
PROP BET - Little sister gets loose and rips up the tracks
Resolved
NO
PROP BET - Rejects the premises of one or more hypotheticals
Resolved
NO
PROP BET: The camera gets knocked over

My toddler is 3.5 years old. He likes trains.

I will conduct a battery of tests to evaluate his moral reasoning abilities. If he fails I will not be disappointed in him, only disappointed in myself.

I will livestream this for benefit of the degens who want to live trade it. DM me to know the day/time in advance. The market close time is just a placeholder.

For context: the three stages of the traditional Trolley Problem are:

  1. Six people are standing on a trolley track, do you pull a lever to divert the trolley to aa second track where only one person is standing?

  2. Six people are standing on a trolley track, do you push a fat man onto the tracks to stop it before it can hit them?

  3. Six people are fatally ill with different illnesses, do you kill a seventh, healthy person and transfer their organs to the other six people to save their lives.

I've added a step 0 (stops a trolley when it costs you nothing to do so, which i will run first as a warm-up, but will not count towards the all/none options)

I reserve the right to modify these exact hypotheticals for ease of execution and comprehension, while keeping the gist roughly the same. For instance, I may reduce the ratio from 1:6 to more like 1:4

MORE FINE PRINT:

  • My rule about trading in my own markets when there's some discretion in the resolution judgment is that I allow myself to trade, but commit to owning zero shares of any answers sensitive to personal judgement at resolution time.

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