When will Manifold decide the election
Plus
1
Ṁ500Jan 1
10%
before 8am at 11/5
10%
11/5 8am-8pm
10%
11/5 8pm-12am
10%
11/6 12am-12pm
10%
11/6 12pm - 12am
10%
11/7
10%
11/8-11/9
10%
11/10-11/15
10%
11/16-11/30
5%
11/30-12/31
5%
2025 or later
All times pacific
I'm looking for the last time that https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election leaves the 5%-95% range in sweepstakes mode, or for when the market is officially resolved, whichever comes first.
If the market seems to settle down and then spikes briefly to the other side of the line in a way that looks like manipulation, I reserve the right to ignore this.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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